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Estado:
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Aprovado
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Começa:
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7 de Dezembro de 2023, 12:00
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Termina:
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7 de Dezembro de 2023, 13:00
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Recursos:
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PT
Tema
"
The
COVID-19 Pandemic, Sovereign Loan Guarantees, and
Financial Stability”
We analyze the effects
of the Portuguese COVID-19 sovereign loan guarantee scheme
on financial stability using a DSGE model. Sovereign loan
guarantees decrease the default rate of banks, increase
credit, and speed up economic recovery. On the other hand,
guarantees increase the leverage and default rate of
firms. These effects are larger the lower the sensitivity
of the capital of banks to capital requirements. Behind
these results are the reduction in regulatory risk-weights
and the transfer of loan losses from banks to the
sovereign brought by sovereign loan guarantees.
Speaker
Ivan De Lorenzo
Buratta
is an economist in the
Macroprudential Policy Division of the Financial Stability
Department of the Banco de Portugal since 2020. He holds a
PhD in Economics, Law and Institutions and a Master’s
degree in International and Development Economics from
University of Rome “Tor Vergata”. His recent research
interests include macroprudential policies and Financial
Stability, Monetary Policy, Forecasting, Big Data and
Machine Learning, De-Fi.
Tiago Pinheiro
is a senior economist at
the Financial Stability Department of Banco de Portugal
since 2019. Tiago has done applied and academic research
on credit portfolios, on earnings manipulation, on the
regulation of credit cards, and on financial development
and business cycles. Tiago holds a Ph.D. in Economics from
the University of Chicago.
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